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中国油气  2017, Vol. 24 Issue (3): 44-48,53    
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Opportunities and Risks of Natural Gas Investment in China under the Circumstance of Low Oil Prices
Hu Guosong1,2, Li Haidong1
1. School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University;
2. Development Research Center of Oil and Gas, Sichuan
Opportunities and Risks of Natural Gas Investment in China under the Circumstance of Low Oil Prices
Hu Guosong1,2, Li Haidong1
1. School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University;
2. Development Research Center of Oil and Gas, Sichuan
全文: PDF(346 KB)  
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摘要 After more than 30 years of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has entered the "new normal" of moderately high growth. Due to the effects of multiple factors, the international oil price has remained consistently low. The low oil price has exerted critical effects on international natural gas investment. At the same time, the market-oriented price mechanism of natural gas in China is gradually taking shape; the concept of low carbon development is widely advocated; and the use of natural gas gains popularity in the city. Such factors provide great opportunities for investment in the natural gas market of China, including boiler coal-to-gas transformation, natural gas distributed energy and natural gas vehicles. However, risks also exist, such as the lower competitiveness of natural gas, its excess production capacity and dwindling consumption in some gas consumption industries, an insufficient driving force for facilitating the coal-to-gas transformation of industrial fuel users, reverse substitution of "coal in place of gas" in some enterprises, nontransparent costs of the downstream link of the natural gas price chain, and mismatches and nonsynchronous adjustments in natural gas prices and electricity prices.
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Hu Guosong
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关键词 Low oil pricesNatural gas marketOpportunitiesRisks    
Abstract:After more than 30 years of rapid growth, the Chinese economy has entered the "new normal" of moderately high growth. Due to the effects of multiple factors, the international oil price has remained consistently low. The low oil price has exerted critical effects on international natural gas investment. At the same time, the market-oriented price mechanism of natural gas in China is gradually taking shape; the concept of low carbon development is widely advocated; and the use of natural gas gains popularity in the city. Such factors provide great opportunities for investment in the natural gas market of China, including boiler coal-to-gas transformation, natural gas distributed energy and natural gas vehicles. However, risks also exist, such as the lower competitiveness of natural gas, its excess production capacity and dwindling consumption in some gas consumption industries, an insufficient driving force for facilitating the coal-to-gas transformation of industrial fuel users, reverse substitution of "coal in place of gas" in some enterprises, nontransparent costs of the downstream link of the natural gas price chain, and mismatches and nonsynchronous adjustments in natural gas prices and electricity prices.
Key wordsLow oil prices    Natural gas market    Opportunities    Risks
     出版日期: 2017-09-20
引用本文:   
Hu Guosong, Li Haidong. Opportunities and Risks of Natural Gas Investment in China under the Circumstance of Low Oil Prices[J]. 中国油气, 2017, 24(3): 44-48,53.
Hu Guosong, Li Haidong. Opportunities and Risks of Natural Gas Investment in China under the Circumstance of Low Oil Prices. China Oil & Gas, 2017, 24(3): 44-48,53.
链接本文:  
http://www.coag.com.cn/CN/      或      http://www.coag.com.cn/CN/Y2017/V24/I3/44
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[3] An Bei. How to develop the natural gas industry of China during the period of low oil price[J]. Chemical Enterprise Management, 2016, 31(22):42-44.
[4] Liu Yijun, Ma Li. Effects of low oil price on natural gas industrial chain[J]. Natural Gas Industry, 2016, 36(06):98-109.
[5] Zhou Shuhui, Fan Jinwei, Li Guang, Tan Jianhui. Development of natural gas market of China under the circumstances of new normal of economy and low oil price[J]. International Petroleum Economics, 2015, 38(06):4-12.
[6] Tao Yongxu, Sun Jiuyan. Development space of natural gas vehicle under the circumstance of low oil price[J]. Energy, 2015, 8(04):68-69.
[7] Natural Gas suffers from "reverse substitution" risk during the period of low oil price[J]. Ethylene Industry, 2015, 26(01):60.
[1] Shan Lei, Sun Hui, Ai Yong. Review of Gas Transportation and Storage Facilities Construction in 2015[J]. 中国油气, 2016, 23(1): 29-35.
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